Description: This paper develops a conceptually rigorous formulation of the cost of capital method for estimating margins for mortality, lapse, expense and other forms of underwriting risk.

Description: Summary of recent surveys to life actuaries regarding assumptions surrounding policyholder behavior in the tail for universal life with secondary guarantees and minimum guarantees on variable annuities. This information is intended to examine and ultimately give guidance to actuaries on how to set policyholder assumptions in extreme scenarios.

Description: Highlights of recent media contributions by actuaries.

Description: This paper introduces a re-rating formula which calculates proposed rates directly by means of fully developed and trended loss costs and current class differentials. From 2007 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, M-AS07-1.

Description: This article provides an overview of the Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA) model act, and of enterprise risk management (ERM). Compared to other actuarial disciplines, health actuaries have not historically focused as much on ERM. But health coverages do have risks that can threaten an insurer's solvency, and ORSA (now in force in most states) will force health insurers to beef up their ERM capabilities.

Description: Since health care reform has made accountable care organizations a hot topic, an SOA workgroup is addressing relevant questions, including provider risk under various ACO models, limitations of the Medicare model for motivating change in the health care delivery system, strategic priorities, attribution of members, meaurement, and the roles actuaries can play.

Description: Companies need to learn to plan for uncertainty by taking into consideration downturns, not just an environment of moderation and occasional booms.

Description: This paper presents actuarial (mathematical) models for cyber breach probability as function of the level and allocations of security spending by a firm.

Description: This paper demonstrates the use of Quantile Regression in the development and understanding of conditional value at risk (VaR) models for enterprise risk management.

Description: The article is devoted to risk management in the business process of materials supply for industrial enterprises. The goals of the business process are considered, and the risks of the failure to achieve goals are identified. Probabilities and influence of negative events are estimated. The risk treatment is considered on critical risks, including forming of insurance supplies of materials. The calculations of insurance supplies of materials, taking into account risks, are conducted on the basis of statistical information.